In the recently reported for 1Q 2025, Lucara said about the Lucara Diamond Market. The long-term outlook for natural diamond prices remains cautious as the market continues to navigate structural shifts. While earlier price corrections, particularly in smaller sizes, were driven by subdued demand and increased supply, the market showed signs of improvement in March.
Smaller goods have stabilized in pricing partially due to influences on supply. Global natural diamond production is forecasted to decrease, following significant production guidance cuts by both Alrosa and De Beers.
Stronger demand for rough diamonds has been observed in 2025, fueled by rising competition and a shift in preferences. The cautious recovery may be supported by increasing demand for larger diamonds due to reduction in global production.
Prices of laboratory-grown diamonds have continued to decrease in 2025 with production outweighing demand. Although De Beers and Alrosa’s recent price adjustments have yet to affect demand, they may result in market responsiveness and price stability. As the industry moves into the second quarter of 2025, the return of strategic buying behaviour and disciplined inventory management suggests potential for a healthier diamond market ahead.